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US pending home sales tumble to record low in July

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Contracts to buy U.S. previously owned homes dropped to a record low in July as higher prices and borrowing costs drove potential buyers from the market.


The National Association of Realtors (NAR) said on Thursday its Pending Home Sales Index, based on signed contracts, fell 5.5% last month to 70.2, the lowest reading since the series started in 2001. Pending home sales fell in all four regions last month. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast contracts, which become sales after a month or two, would rise 0.4%.


Pending home sales plummeted 8.5% on a year-on-year basis in July.


"The positive impact of job growth and higher inventory could not overcome affordability challenges and some degree of wait-and-see related to the upcoming U.S. presidential election," said Lawrence Yun, the NAR's chief economist.


Sales activity is likely to remain subdued. A Conference Board survey on Tuesday showed the share of consumers planning to buy a house over the next six months in August was the smallest since early 2013. 


House prices remain elevated, though the pace of increases has slowed. The Federal Housing Finance Agency reported on Tuesday that house prices rose 5.1% on a year-on-year basis in June, the smallest rise in nearly a year, after advancing 5.9% in May.

2024-08-30 08:56:51
China's lending to Africa rises for first time in seven years, study shows

By Duncan Miriri


NAIROBI (Reuters) -Chinese lenders approved loans worth $4.61 billion to Africa last year, marking the first annual increase since 2016, an independent study showed on Thursday.


Africa secured more than $10 billion in loans a year from China between 2012-2018, thanks to President Xi Jinping's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), but the lending fell precipitously from the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.


Last year's figure, a more than three-fold increase from 2022, shows China is keen to curb risks associated with highly indebted economies, the study by Boston University's Global Development Policy Centre found.


"Beijing appears to be looking for a more sustainable equilibrium level of lending and experimenting with a (new) strategy," said the university centre, which runs the Chinese Loans to Africa Database project.


The new data comes as Beijing prepares to host African leaders next week for the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation, which takes place every three years.


There were 13 loan deals last year involving eight African countries and two African multilateral lenders, the study found.


Last year's biggest items include a nearly $1 billion loan from China Development Bank to Nigeria for the Kaduna-to-Kano Railway and similar size liquidity facility by the lender to Egypt's central bank.


China has vaulted to the top bilateral lender for many African nations like Ethiopia in recent years.


It has lent the continent a total of $182.28 billion between 2000-2023, the Boston University study found, with the bulk of the finances going to Africa's energy, transport and ICT sectors.


Africa featured prominently in the initial years of BRI, as China sought to recreate the ancient Silk Road and extend its geopolitical and economic influence through a global infrastructure development push.


China, however, started to turn off the cash spigot in 2019, a shift that was accelerated by the pandemic, leaving a series of incomplete projects around the region, including a modern railway meant to link Kenya with its neighbours.


The reduction in loans was caused by China's own domestic pressures and growing debt burdens among African economies. Zambia, Ghana and Ethiopia have gone into protracted debt overhauls since 2021.


More than half of the loans committed last year, or $2.59 billion, were to regional and national lenders, underscoring Beijing's new strategy, the study by Boston University found.


"Chinese lenders' focus on African financial institutions most likely represent a risk mitigation strategy that avoids exposure to African countries' debt challenges," it said.


Nearly a tenth of 2023 loans were for three solar and hydropower energy projects, the study found, illustrating a desire by China to move into funding renewable energy instead of coal-fired power plants.


Still, the discernible trends in last year's figures did not offer a clear direction of China's financial engagement with the continent, the study showed, since Chinese institutions also wrote loans to ailing economies like Nigeria and Angola.


"It remains to be seen whether China's partnerships in Africa will retain their quality," the Global Development Policy Centre said.

2024-08-29 16:38:18
S.Korea exports seen extending gains, inflation to hit BOK target: Reuters poll

By Jihoon Lee


SEOUL (Reuters) - South Korea's exports are expected to have risen for an 11th straight month in August, a Reuters poll showed on Thursday, with economists noting rising momentum in Chinese demand.


Consumer inflation, meanwhile, is expected to come down to the central bank's medium-term target of 2% for the first time in almost 3-1/2 years, the survey also showed.


Exports in August from Asia's fourth-largest economy are forecast to have risen 13.0% from a year earlier, according to the median estimate of 16 economists in the survey conducted Aug. 23-28.


That would be just a bit smaller than an annual rise of 13.9% in the previous month, which was the strongest since January. The figure suggests demand for South Korean goods remains robust, economists said, citing base effects.


South Korea is the first major exporting economy to report monthly trade figures each month, providing an early glimpse into the state of global demand.


Its exports have been growing since October 2023, led by semiconductors and U.S. shipments on demand related to artificial intelligence.


"Exports of IT products, including semiconductors and computer parts, are continuing to grow at a fast speed, while car sales are also seen swinging back to growth," said Stephen Lee, economist at Meritz Securities.


In the first 20 days of this month, exports jumped 18.5%, with shipments of semiconductors and automobiles climbing 42.5% and 7.9%, respectively. By destination, exports to the United States rose 18.0%, while those to China were up 16.3%.


"Most of all, the recovery in China-bound shipments will lead the export growth in August," said Park Sang-hyun, economist, iM Securities.


The poll also forecast a 6.3% year-on-year rise in imports, slowing from the previous month's gain of 10.5%, which was the fastest since September 2022.


The country's trade balance is expected to post a surplus for the 15th straight month, with the median estimate at $4.67 billion, wider than $3.60 billion in July.


Meanwhile, the monthly survey showed South Korea's annual inflation likely slowed to 2.0% in August, from the rise of 2.6% in July, to mark the weakest since March 2021.


South Korea is scheduled to report trade figures for August on Sunday, Sept. 1, at 9 a.m. (0000 GMT), and inflation data on Sept. 3.


2024-08-29 14:48:20
South Korea's Yoon says to 'manage' policy rates if housing market heats up

SEOUL (Reuters) - South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol said on Thursday there was a need to "manage" policy interest rates should expectations about lower borrowing costs lead to further price increases in the country's already hot housing market.


"It won't matter if it (home buying) is real demand, but if speculative demand stemming from asset management purposes boost home prices we will manage policy interest rates. We need to make clear messages on that to calm the overheated sentiment," Yoon said during a televised news conference.


The Bank of Korea (BOK) said at its Aug. 22 meeting that it was time to prepare to cut interest rate cuts after leaving the benchmark rate steady at a 15-year high of 3.50% for the 13th straight meeting, as expected.


Yoon did not elaborate on whether he meant to manage policy interest rates set by the BOK or borrowing costs related to policy financing of local mortgage products.


The BOK's independence to set policy interest rates is guaranteed by law, but governments have a track record of pressuring the seven-memeber board to cooperate over policy direction.


2024-08-29 13:22:27
China's lending to Africa rises for first time in seven years, study shows

By Duncan Miriri


NAIROBI (Reuters) - Chinese lenders approved loans worth $4.61 billion to Africa last year, marking the first annual increase since 2016, an independent study showed on Thursday.


Africa secured more than $10 billion in loans a year from China between 2012-2018, thanks to President Xi Jinping's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), but the lending fell precipitously from the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.


Last year's figure, a more than three-fold increase from 2022, shows China is keen to curb risks associated with highly indebted economies, the study by Boston University's Global Development Policy Centre found.


"Beijing appears to be looking for a more sustainable equilibrium level of lending and experimenting with a (new) strategy," said the university centre, which runs the Chinese Loans to Africa Database project.


Last year's biggest items include a nearly $1 billion loan from China Development Bank to Nigeria for the Kaduna-to-Kano Railway and similar size liquidity facility by the lender to Egypt's central bank.


China has vaulted to the top bilateral lender for many African nations like Ethiopia in recent years.


It has lent the continent a total of $182.28 billion between 2000-2023, the Boston University study found, with the bulk of the finances going to Africa's energy, transport and ICT sectors.


Africa featured prominently in the initial years of BRI, as China sought to recreate the ancient Silk Road and extend its geopolitical and economic influence through a global infrastructure development push.


China, however, started to turn off the cash spigot in 2019, a shift that was accelerated by the pandemic, leaving a series of incomplete projects around the region, including a modern railway meant to link Kenya with its neighbours.


The reduction in loans was caused by China's own domestic pressures and growing debt burdens among African economies. Zambia, Ghana and Ethiopia have gone into protracted debt overhauls since 2021.


More than half of the loans committed last year, or $2.59 billion, were to regional and national lenders, underscoring Beijing's new strategy, the study by Boston University found.


"Chinese lenders' focus on African financial institutions most likely represent a risk mitigation strategy that avoids exposure to African countries' debt challenges," it said.


Nearly a tenth of 2023 loans were for three solar and hydropower energy projects, the study found, illustrating a desire by China to move into funding renewable energy instead of coal-fired power plants.


Still, the discernible trends in last year's figures did not offer a clear direction of China's financial engagement with the continent, the study showed, since Chinese institutions also wrote loans to ailing economies like Nigeria and Angola.


"It remains to be seen whether China's partnerships in Africa will retain their quality," the Global Development Policy Centre said.

2024-08-29 10:44:09
Russian economy shows solid growth despite Ukraine war sanctions

MOSCOW (Reuters) - The Russian economy has shown solid growth in many sectors while unemployment remains at a record low, new data showed on Wednesday, prompting officials to hint at a brighter outlook for the year despite Western sanctions over the war in Ukraine.


Driven by military production, industrial output rose by 3.3% in July compared with a 2.7% increase the previous month, and by 4.8% since the start of the year, compared with 3.1% growth in the same period in 2023.


A preliminary estimate for gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the first half of the year stood at 4.6%, compared with 1.8% for the same period last year.


Officials attributed this growth to strong capital investment, including by the private sector, which in the second quarter rose by 8.3% year-on-year to 8.44 trillion roubles ($92 billion), following 14.5% growth in the first quarter of the year.


"Given such high results in the first half of the year, we expect even higher figures for the entire year of 2024 than we had initially projected in the economic forecast published in April," said Polina Kryuchkova, deputy economy minister.


The data suggested the economy was holding up despite Western economic sanctions and problems with international payments with Russia's major trading partners, such as China, which led to a 9% fall in overall imports in the first half of the year.


However, they also pointed to overheating, which forced the central bank to hike its benchmark interest rate by 200 basis points to 18% in July, the highest level in more than two years.


The central bank said persistent labour shortages and wage growth, as well as high inflation, were the main signs of an overheated economy and promised to maintain tight monetary policy and fight inflation until it cools.


New statistics showed that real wages rose 6.2% year-on-year in June, following an 8.8% increase in the previous month, while average nominal wages rose 15.3% year-on-year to 89,145 roubles a month.


Wage growth in Russia is being spurred by the payouts handed to contract soldiers fighting in Ukraine, which have become a new benchmark in the economy as workers in fast-growing sectors facing acute labour shortages demand similar pay from employers.


In the first half of the year, real wages grew by 9.4%, while nominal wages increased by 18.1% compared with the same period in 2023, according to the new data. Unemployment remained at a historically low level of 1.9 million people in July, or 2.4% of the workforce.

2024-08-29 08:47:03
US awards $521 million in grants to boost EV charging network

By David Shepardson


WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The Biden administration said Tuesday it is awarding $521 million in grants to build out electric vehicle charging and deploying more than 9,200 EV charging ports.


The Energy Department and Federal Highway Administration said $321 million will be allocated for 41 community projects that expand EV charging infrastructure, while $200 million will fund 10 corridor fast-charging projects.


Milwaukee will receive $15 million to install EV chargers at 53 sites while Atlanta will receive $11.8 million to install a DC Fast Charging Hub at the city's airport with 50 DC fast chargers providing charging for rental cars, ride-share drivers, and airport shuttles.


The Biden administration has faced harsh criticism for the slow deployment of EV charging stations from a $5-billion U.S. government program created in 2021.


Automakers and others say drastically expanding EV-charging stations is crucial to the wide deployment of electric vehicles, key to U.S. efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.


The White House goal is to grow the nationwide network of chargers to 500,000 ports, including high-speed chargers - no more than 50 miles (80 km) apart - on the nation's busiest highways.


As of August, the United States had 192,000 public charging ports and since the start of the Biden administration, the number of publicly available fast-charging ports has increased by 90%.


FHWA said approximately 1,000 new public chargers being added each week.


In June, just seven EV-charging stations had been deployed under the 2021 U.S. program consisting of a few dozen total charging ports, said Shailen Bhatt, who heads the Federal Highway Administration.


"That is pathetic. We're now three years into this ... That is a vast administrative failure," said Senator Jeff Merkley at the hearing. "Something is terribly wrong and it needs to be fixed."

Bhatt said in June he was frustrated with slow deployment and said the agency is working with states on their plans to deploy EV chargers.

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has also repeatedly criticized the deployment pace.
2024-08-28 15:47:13
Gold edges down on stronger dollar, market awaits US inflation data

By Daksh Grover


(Reuters) - Gold prices slipped on Wednesday as the dollar ticked up, while investors awaited a key U.S. inflation report due this week for more clarity on the size of a likely September rate cut.


Spot gold fell 0.4% to $2,514.11 per ounce by 0313 GMT. Bullion hit a record high of $2,531.60 on Aug. 20.


U.S. gold futures were down 0.2% to $2,549.00.


The dollar index was up 0.1%, diminishing gold's attractiveness for foreign currency holders. [USD/]


"Market seems to be waiting for a catalyst to ignite the potential bullish breakthrough above that $2,532 level," said Kelvin Wong, OANDA's senior market analyst for Asia Pacific.


The short-term trend for gold remains strong, with the potential to hit new highs. In the longer term, it may face resistance around the $2,585 to $2,595 range, Wong added.


Market participants are looking forward to the release of the U.S. personal consumption expenditure (PCE) data, the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation, on Friday.


Traders have fully priced in a Fed easing for next month, with a 67% chance of a 25-basis-point cut and about 33% chance of a bigger 50-bp reduction, according to the CME FedWatch tool.


Non-yielding bullion tends to thrive in a low-interest-rate environment.


Fed Chair Jerome Powell last week endorsed an imminent start to rate cuts and expressed confidence that inflation is within reach of the U.S. central bank's 2% target.


A report on Tuesday showed that U.S. consumer confidence rose to a six-month high in August but Americans are becoming more anxious about the labour market.


China's net gold imports via Hong Kong in July rose by about 17% from the previous month, the first gain since March, data showed on Tuesday.


Among other metals, spot silver slipped 0.7% to $29.78 per ounce, platinum rose 0.3% to $956.00 and palladium fell 0.4% to $966.40.

2024-08-28 14:41:36
Stocks stop short of record peaks as Nvidia earnings loom

By Tom Westbrook


SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Global stocks were poised near record highs on Wednesday, with the next move riding on results at chipmaking market darling Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), while sterling notched a 2-1/2 year high as traders bet that Britain will lag the U.S. in cutting interest rates.


MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan dipped 0.4%. Japan's Nikkei fell 0.2%.


Oil retraced a recent spike on Middle East tensions as gloom on Chinese demand returned to the fore and Brent crude futures traded just below $80 a barrel. [O/R]


Nvidia's market value has ballooned thanks to its dominance of the computing hardware behind artificial intelligence. The stock price is up some 3000% since 2019 and with a market capitalisation of $3.2 trillion, a move in its shares affects the entire market.


Second-quarter revenue will likely have doubled, though even that may disappoint expectations. Options pricing shows traders anticipate a near 10% - or $300 billion - swing in market value, likely the largest earnings move of any company, ever.


The results at the "so-called 'most important company in the world,'" stand between Wall Street and fresh record highs, noted Capital.com analyst Kyle Rodda, and set the tone for the sector.


"The company’s revenue and sales guidance is a barometer of AI capex, with inferences to be drawn about the health of the other mega-cap tech names," he said.


The S&P 500 went up about 0.2% overnight and futures drifted 0.1% lower in Asia, while Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.3%.


E-commerce shares stabilised in Hong Kong - where the Hang Seng slipped 0.5% - after taking a kicking following downbeat remarks from discount online retailer PDD Holdings earlier in the week.


China's biggest sportswear maker, Anta, was the top gainer and shares were up 8.5% after better-than-expected profits and $1.3 billion buyback. Shares in Australian gambling company Tabcorp slid 12% and headed for their largest drop since 2020 after the company wrote down asset prices and said rising costs meant it would miss earnings targets.


Debt and currency markets were steady in the Asia session, though the Australian dollar popped up about 0.2% to touch its highest since January at $0.6813 after monthly inflation data was slightly higher than market expectations.


Globally a weakening dollar in anticipation of U.S. rate cuts has lifted most other currencies because markets see U.S. short-term rates, currently above 5.25%, as having furthest to fall. The yen traded at 144.32 per dollar.


Interest rate futures price 100 basis points of U.S. rate cuts this year and last week Fed Chair Jerome Powell endorsed an imminent start to cuts saying "the time has come". The tone contrasts with caution at the Bank of England, which has helped sterling become the top-performing G10 currency with a 4.1% gain for the year-to-date.


It hit its highest in more than two years overnight at $1.3269 and hovered near that level on Wednesday. [GBP/]


"UK services sector inflation...is still uncomfortably high," Rabobank senior strategist Jane Foley said in a note.


"In our view, the BoE is likely to only cut rates once a quarter going forward," she said, against a forecast for four consecutive 25 bp cuts from the Fed from September to January.


Rates markets were steady with 10-year U.S. Treasury yields at 3.83%, two-year yields at 3.87% and the gap between the two its narrowest in nearly three weeks.


Heavy selling in the New York evening drove bitcoin down 4% on the dollar to $59,350. Gold held at $2,517 an ounce.

2024-08-28 13:17:39
Ukraine to temporarily suspend payments on GDP warrants next year, government says

(Reuters) -Ukraine will temporarily suspend payments on GDP warrants starting from May 31, 2025, according to government decision published on the official website late on Tuesday.


Kyiv will also temporarily suspend payments for loans from Cargill Financial Services International, Inc, starting from Sept. 3, and on government-guaranteed bonds of Ukrainian power firm Ukrenergo starting from Nov. 9, according to the document.


The GDP warrants and private debt obligations are not part of the country's sovereign restructuring deal that the government of the war-torn country is expected to finalise any time now.


With the Russian war in Ukraine now in its third year, the Kyiv government relies heavily on foreign financial aid to be able to finance its social and humanitarian payments. The bulk of Ukraine's state revenues goes to defence efforts.


The GDP warrant, an instrument linked to the country's economic output growth was created during Ukraine's 2015 debt restructuring in the wake of Russia's annexation of Crimea as a sweetener to creditors. JPMorgan calculates that Ukraine owes $2.6 billion on this instrument.


About $700 million is owed to U.S. agribusiness giant Cargill and the state grid company Ukrenergo has a government guarantee on a $830 million note.

2024-08-28 10:52:10